‘Direction for Nigeria Economy in 2016’
FEDERAL government has given the direction it will take to run the economy in 2016.
According to the federal government, it will fully implement the 2016 budget so as to recover from the slowing GDP growth and to forestall the remote possibility of recession.
A statement from the Ministry of Finance Thursday said the Minister of Finance Mrs. Kemi Adeosun made the declaration in an article she wrote.
According to the statement, the finance minister noted that the focus of the current administration is to stimulate the economy and achieve a real GDP growth rate of 4.2 per cent by the implementation of the draft 2016 budget.
Adeosun added that “the administration is also determined to reduce the cost of governance, extract efficiencies in public service and enhance revenue collections. The administration plans to increase government expenditure on infrastructure i.e. Transport, Roads, Housing and Power with a view to achieving a substantial increase in gross capital formation and to fund the budget deficit and the negative trade balance in a cost effective and efficient manner, which will keep the government within the acceptable debt sustainable ratio that is expected of most emerging economies.”
The Minister who acknowledged the impact of the sliding oil prices on Nigeria’s economy said, “our main macroeconomic objective is to use a government expenditure-led growth strategy in 2016, combined with a stimulant approach based on injections of more efficiently collected revenues and blocking of leakages. The combination of these fiscal injections will have a catalytic multiplier effect on the GDP growth rate.”
“The budget deficit is estimated at N2.2trn or 2.16 per cent of GDP based on an estimated benchmark oil price of $38pb. In view of present realities and the dynamics in the global oil markets, we have braced ourselves for the probability of a further decline in oil prices,” she said.
Though the government believes the average price of oil in 2016 will recover, “we have developed a shadow budgeting process with tactical responses to build in the flexibility in our borrowing needs. This way, we will not undermine the fundamental principle of the economic stimulus model used by countries facing a contraction in economic activities and growth,” the finance minister said.
Adeosun pledged the resolve of the current administration to go ahead with its robust commitments on infrastructure despite the present oil price.
She said, “We are firmly committed to the countercyclical budget expenditure model. Therefore we will not reduce our investment in infrastructure i.e. Transport, Roads, Housing and Power. Our deficit will expand by N0.8trn to N3trn, which will be 3per cent of GDP. This is still within the comfort zone for the international rating agencies.”
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